Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 May 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 May 2019
Respondents
1,895
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 May 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,895 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 May 2019, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.8average 18.8
  • FDP +0.6average 8.4
  • Linke +0.3average 8.7
  • SPD +0.1average 16.9
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 29.0
  • AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsSPD: 114 seatsGrüne: 114 seatsAfD: 87 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • SPD114
  • Grüne114
  • AfD87
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne423 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD396 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD396 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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