Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 May 2019
- Respondents
- 1,975
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 May 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,975 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 May 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- SPD -0.9average 16.9
- FDP +0.6average 8.4
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 29.2
- AfD -0.1average 13.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- Grüne121
- SPD107
- AfD87
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.