Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,388
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Aug 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,388 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Aug 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 24.5
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 27.2
- SPD +1.1average 12.9
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- Linke +1.0average 8.0
- AfD +0.8average 13.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne148
- SPD94
- AfD94
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.