Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 April 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Apr 2019
Respondents
1,433
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Apr 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,433 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Apr 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 29.3
  • Linke +1.3average 8.7
  • Grüne -0.6average 18.6
  • SPD +0.2average 16.8
  • AfD +0.1average 12.9
  • FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsGrüne: 119 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 86 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • Grüne119
  • SPD113
  • AfD86
  • Linke66
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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