Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 30 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 1,903
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Apr 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,903 people were surveyed from 25 to 30 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Apr 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 28.6
- Grüne +0.2average 18.8
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
- SPD ±0average 17.0
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne126
- SPD113
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD424 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.