Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 April 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 Apr 2019
Respondents
2,709
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Apr 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,709 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 29.5
  • SPD +1.5average 16.5
  • FDP -0.9average 8.9
  • Linke +0.4average 8.6
  • AfD +0.3average 12.7
  • Grüne +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsGrüne: 126 seatsSPD: 119 seatsAfD: 86 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • Grüne126
  • SPD119
  • AfD86
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD431 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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