Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 2,709
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Apr 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,709 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 29.5
- SPD +1.5average 16.5
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne126
- SPD119
- AfD86
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD431 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.