Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 April 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Apr 2019
Respondents
2,559
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Apr 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,559 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.0average 19.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 29.3
  • AfD -0.6average 12.6
  • SPD +0.4average 16.6
  • Linke +0.4average 8.6
  • FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsSPD: 114 seatsGrüne: 114 seatsAfD: 81 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • SPD114
  • Grüne114
  • AfD81
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne429 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD396 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD396 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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