Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 April 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
28 Mar 2019 to 3 Apr 2019
Respondents
2,355
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Mar 2019.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,355 people were surveyed from 28 Mar 2019 to 3 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.3average 9.3
  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 29.8
  • Grüne -0.5average 18.5
  • AfD -0.5average 12.5
  • SPD +0.4average 16.6
  • Linke +0.4average 8.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 205 seatsGrüne: 119 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 80 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU205
  • Grüne119
  • SPD113
  • AfD80
  • Linke60
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne324 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.