Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 2,361
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Mar 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,361 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 18.4
- SPD -0.7average 16.7
- AfD +0.4average 12.6
- Linke +0.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- Grüne114
- SPD107
- AfD87
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.