Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,518
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Mar 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,518 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Mar 2019, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 18.3
- AfD +1.2average 12.8
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 30.2
- FDP -0.7average 8.7
- Linke -0.5average 8.5
- SPD +0.1average 16.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD113
- Grüne113
- AfD93
- FDP53
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.