Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,904
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Mar 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,904 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Mar 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 18.2
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
- SPD -0.6average 16.6
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- Grüne114
- SPD107
- AfD87
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.