Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Feb 2019 to 6 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,906
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Mar 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,906 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2019 to 6 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 17.9
- AfD +1.0average 13.0
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 30.3
- FDP -0.6average 8.6
- Linke +0.3average 8.7
- SPD +0.2average 16.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD113
- Grüne106
- AfD93
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.