Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,420
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Feb 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,420 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Feb 2019, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.0 points lower and Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 18.0
- Linke +1.5average 8.5
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 30.3
- AfD +1.0average 13.0
- SPD +0.9average 17.1
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- SPD119
- Grüne106
- AfD93
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.