Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,511
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Feb 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,511 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.7 points higher and Grüne 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.7average 16.3
- Grüne -2.2average 18.2
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 30.7
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
- AfD -0.1average 13.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD126
- Grüne106
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.