Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,891
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+2.0
- Grüne15.0%-2.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Feb 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,891 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Feb 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 3.8 points lower and SPD 3.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.8average 18.8
- SPD +3.1average 15.9
- Linke +1.3average 8.7
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD126
- Grüne100
- AfD86
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.