Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2019 to 6 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,900
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%-2.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Feb 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,900 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2019 to 6 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Feb 2019, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.7 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.7average 15.3
- Grüne -1.7average 18.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- AfD -0.2average 13.2
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
- Linke +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD113
- Grüne112
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne424 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.