Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 30 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,434
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Jan 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,434 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Jan 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 30.5
- AfD +1.2average 13.8
- FDP +1.2average 8.8
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- Grüne -0.8average 18.8
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne118
- SPD105
- AfD98
- FDP66
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.