Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 23 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 2,017
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Jan 2019.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,017 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Jan 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 30.4
- SPD +1.2average 14.8
- AfD +0.5average 13.5
- Grüne -0.1average 19.1
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
- Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne125
- SPD105
- AfD92
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.