Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,448
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,448 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Jan 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- FDP -0.7average 8.7
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 29.6
- AfD -0.2average 14.2
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- Grüne121
- SPD100
- AfD94
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 12 Jan 2019Verian (Emnid), 26 Jan 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.