Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 9 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,964
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,964 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 29.7
- Grüne -0.9average 18.9
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- Grüne119
- SPD99
- AfD93
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP319 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 22 Dec 2018Verian (Emnid), 19 Jan 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.