Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,889
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Dec 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,889 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.5average 19.5
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 29.3
- AfD -0.2average 14.2
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- Linke +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne126
- SPD99
- AfD93
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.