Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,997
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Dec 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,997 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.1average 9.1
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 29.2
- Grüne +0.8average 19.2
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- AfD -0.2average 14.2
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne133
- SPD99
- AfD93
- FDP53
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.