Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Nov 2018 to 5 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 2,469
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Dec 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,469 people were surveyed from 29 Nov 2018 to 5 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 20.3
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 27.9
- AfD -0.6average 14.6
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
- Linke -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne126
- SPD99
- AfD93
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.