Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,531
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+2.0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Nov 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,531 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 20.5
- AfD +0.5average 14.5
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
- Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne126
- SPD99
- AfD99
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.