Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 21 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 2,361
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Nov 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,361 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Nov 2018, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.1average 19.9
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 26.9
- Linke -0.3average 9.3
- AfD -0.2average 15.2
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
- SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU172
- Grüne139
- SPD100
- AfD99
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD410 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD371 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.