Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,987
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Nov 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,987 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.1average 19.9
- FDP -1.1average 9.1
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- Linke -0.4average 9.4
- AfD +0.2average 14.8
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne141
- SPD101
- AfD100
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.