Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 7 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,518
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Nov 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,518 people were surveyed from 5 to 7 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Nov 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.6average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 26.6
- FDP -1.6average 9.6
- Linke -0.5average 9.5
- SPD +0.3average 14.7
- AfD -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU168
- Grüne147
- SPD101
- AfD100
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.