Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,815
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Oct 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,815 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Oct 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Oct 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 3.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.0average 18.0
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 26.7
- SPD -1.4average 15.4
- AfD -1.2average 16.2
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
- Linke +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU168
- Grüne141
- AfD100
- SPD94
- Linke67
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD403 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.