Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,905
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,905 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Oct 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower and Grüne 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.7average 26.7
- Grüne +2.5average 17.5
- FDP +0.9average 9.1
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- AfD -0.4average 16.4
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne133
- AfD106
- SPD100
- FDP66
- Linke66
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.