Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,609
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Oct 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,609 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 26.9
- Grüne +1.8average 17.2
- AfD -1.6average 16.6
- FDP +0.8average 9.2
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- Linke +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU168
- Grüne127
- SPD101
- AfD100
- FDP67
- Linke67
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.