Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,899
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Oct 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,899 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Oct 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower and AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 27.5
- AfD -1.5average 16.5
- Grüne +1.2average 15.8
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- SPD +0.5average 16.5
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU172
- SPD113
- Grüne113
- AfD99
- Linke73
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.