Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Sep 2018 to 2 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,515
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Sep 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,515 people were surveyed from 27 Sep 2018 to 2 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Sep 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 27.8
- Grüne +0.8average 15.2
- AfD -0.8average 16.8
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- SPD +0.1average 16.9
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- SPD113
- Grüne106
- AfD106
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.