Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 26 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,902
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Sep 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,902 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Sep 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 28.2
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- SPD -1.0average 17.0
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- AfD +0.3average 16.7
- Grüne ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU177
- AfD112
- SPD105
- Grüne98
- Linke72
- FDP66
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.