Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 September 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Sep 2018
Respondents
2,368
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD16.0%+1.0
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Sep 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,368 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Sep 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.3average 9.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 28.9
  • SPD -0.7average 17.7
  • Grüne -0.5average 14.5
  • FDP +0.2average 8.8
  • AfD -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 106 seatsGrüne: 93 seatsLinke: 73 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • SPD113
  • AfD106
  • Grüne93
  • Linke73
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD404 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.