Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,978
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Sep 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,978 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Sep 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 29.4
- AfD -0.6average 15.6
- FDP +0.6average 8.4
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
- SPD -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD119
- AfD100
- Grüne86
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.