Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 September 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
30 Aug 2018 to 5 Sep 2018
Respondents
2,472
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%-2.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Sep 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,472 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2018 to 5 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Sep 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -0.9average 15.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 29.8
  • SPD -0.4average 17.4
  • Grüne +0.4average 13.6
  • Linke +0.3average 9.7
  • FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsSPD: 114 seatsAfD: 101 seatsGrüne: 94 seatsLinke: 67 seatsFDP: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • SPD114
  • AfD101
  • Grüne94
  • Linke67
  • FDP60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD409 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne389 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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