Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,390
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Aug 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,390 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Aug 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.4average 17.6
- AfD -1.2average 16.2
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 29.6
- Linke -0.4average 9.4
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- Grüne +0.2average 13.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD125
- AfD98
- Grüne92
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.