Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 August 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Aug 2018
Respondents
1,891
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU30.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Aug 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,891 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Aug 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.8average 15.8
  • Grüne +1.4average 13.6
  • Linke -1.0average 10.0
  • SPD +0.3average 17.7
  • FDP +0.3average 8.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 199 seatsSPD: 119 seatsGrüne: 99 seatsAfD: 93 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU199
  • SPD119
  • Grüne99
  • AfD93
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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