Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,942
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Aug 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,942 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Aug 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.4average 13.6
- SPD -0.9average 17.9
- AfD -0.9average 15.9
- Linke -0.9average 9.9
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU ±0average 30.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD113
- Grüne99
- AfD99
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.