Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Aug 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Aug 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 16.0
- Grüne +1.4average 13.6
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 30.1
- SPD -0.8average 17.8
- FDP -0.7average 8.7
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD113
- Grüne99
- AfD93
- Linke66
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.