Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Jul 2018 to 1 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 2,478
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Jul 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,478 people were surveyed from 26 Jul 2018 to 1 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Jul 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 13.0
- AfD -1.0average 16.0
- Linke -1.0average 10.0
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- CDU/CSU ±0average 30.0
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD119
- Grüne100
- AfD99
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.