Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+2.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Jul 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Jul 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 30.3
- Grüne +1.2average 12.8
- AfD -1.0average 16.0
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- Linke +0.2average 9.8
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD119
- AfD100
- Grüne93
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.