Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,476
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Jul 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,476 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Jul 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.2average 17.8
- AfD -1.0average 16.0
- Grüne -0.8average 12.8
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD126
- AfD99
- Grüne80
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.