Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 2,368
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,368 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Jul 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.6average 12.6
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- SPD +0.2average 17.8
- AfD +0.2average 15.8
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD119
- AfD106
- Grüne80
- Linke66
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 7 Jul 2018Verian (Emnid), 21 Jul 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.