Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jun 2018 to 4 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 1,894
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-2.0
- SPD17.0%-2.0
- AfD17.0%+3.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Jun 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,894 people were surveyed from 28 Jun 2018 to 4 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Jun 2018, AfD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 15.4
- SPD -1.2average 18.2
- Linke -0.9average 9.9
- Grüne -0.7average 12.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD114
- AfD114
- Grüne81
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD429 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne396 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.