Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 28 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 1,954
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%-2.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Jun 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,954 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Jun 2018, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.1average 10.1
- SPD +0.8average 18.2
- AfD -0.8average 14.8
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 31.4
- Grüne -0.2average 12.2
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- SPD126
- AfD93
- Grüne79
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.