Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 June 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
14 to 20 Jun 2018
Respondents
2,336
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU31.0%-2.0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • AfD16.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Jun 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,336 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Jun 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.3average 14.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 31.9
  • Linke -0.2average 10.2
  • FDP +0.2average 8.8
  • Grüne -0.1average 12.1
  • SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 203 seatsSPD: 118 seatsAfD: 105 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU203
  • SPD118
  • AfD105
  • Grüne79
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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