Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 June 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
24 to 29 May 2018
Respondents
1,397
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 May 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,397 people were surveyed from 24 to 29 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 May 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has FDP 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.5average 8.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.3average 33.3
  • Grüne +1.2average 11.8
  • AfD +0.8average 14.2
  • Linke +0.7average 10.3
  • SPD +0.3average 17.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 118 seatsAfD: 99 seatsGrüne: 85 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD118
  • AfD99
  • Grüne85
  • Linke72
  • FDP46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne394 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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