Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 May 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
17 to 23 May 2018
Respondents
1,946
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%±0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 May 2018.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,946 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 May 2018, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.1average 11.9
  • Linke +1.1average 9.9
  • SPD -0.9average 17.9
  • FDP -0.6average 8.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 33.2
  • AfD +0.1average 13.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 112 seatsAfD: 92 seatsGrüne: 85 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD112
  • AfD92
  • Grüne85
  • Linke72
  • FDP52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne394 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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