Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 May 2018
- Respondents
- 2,030
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 May 2018.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,030 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 May 2018, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.3average 11.7
- SPD -1.1average 18.1
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 32.8
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
- AfD ±0average 14.0
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU216
- SPD112
- AfD92
- Grüne85
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.